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SRC Stock Charts - Profit at-a-glance. Market Insight Newsletter

Why sell in May? Are you rich yet? Plus, just how did Ronald McDonald hire 50,000 in April?


Welcome to the May edition of Insights-at-a-Glance, SRC’s newsletter featuring unique insights into the current markets using SRC’s deep historical databases. This month we are featuring our first guest author and holding our open call for more!

This month Paul Schneider discusses how to make the most of the market recovery, Martin Druffner explains the strategy for selling in May and buying in November and Luke Laidley explains just how McDonalds hired 50,000 in April.


Sell in May and Go Away.

On Wall Street there are a lot of old adages. The next one that is on our door step is “Sell in May and go away”. The strategy consists of selling all of your positions on April 30 and reinvesting them on November 1. The thinking goes you would be sitting out the worst performing periods for the market and invested during the best times.

Your portfolio would be in the market during the early part of the year capturing the January effect and at the end of the year's fourth quarter rally. In return you would miss the summer doldrums and any October weakness. The question we will explore is how well does the adage work and how much of a difference does it make....

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Are We Rich Yet?

In the introduction to the Novel “A Tale of Two Cities”, it was stated that “These were the best of times and the worst of times.”

A similar statement by investors could be made for the crash of 2008 through 2009 recession. A bull market recovery, as seen in S&P 500 (SPX) price (blue vertical bars) and earnings (green dotted) curves below, occurred starting from the market bottom at the beginning of 2009 to the present 2011. Doing well in the market meant continuing to hold quality stocks while adding to purchases during the two year recovery.


Did the American taxpayer just hire 50,000 new McDonald’s Employees?


On April 19th, 2011, McDonald’s will hire an unprecedented 50,000 new employees nationwide. The $24 billion, fast food franchiser is painting the event as good news for workers and the economy. How did Ronald McDonald really pull this off?

Certainly, Americans are supportive and proud to recognize one of our finest corporations growing again by hiring 50,000 American workers which will generate an estimated $1.4 billion in annual spending, according to MarketWatch. Yet, this hiring spree poses an interesting question: What drove this decision for the McJobs hiring? Was it McDonald’s increased profits or was there additional financial support given from Ronald McDonald’s best friends, namely the American consumer?

 

May 13, 2011


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